Russian supply glut pushes wheat to weekly loss despite Friday bounce-back
CANBERRA, Sept 20 (Reuters) -Chicago wheat futures rose on Friday after the International Grains Council (IGC) cut its global production forecast by a million tons, but prices were still headed for a 4% weekly loss due to ample supply of cheap wheat from the Black Sea.
Corn and soybean futures rose slightly despite pressure from the ongoing U.S. harvest. Corn was on track for a 1.5% weekly loss and soy for a 0.8% gain from last Friday's close.
FUNDAMENTALS
* The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) Wv1 was up 0.9% at $5.70-3/4 a bushel by 0119 GMT, while CBOT corn Cv1 rose 0.3% to $4.07 a bushel and soybeans Sv1 climbed 0.2% to $10.15-1/4 a bushel.
* All three contracts fell to four-year lows in July or August due to plentiful supply but have regained some ground, helped in part by a weaker dollar making U.S. crops more competitive on global markets. FRX/ USD=
* Wheat slumped this week after crop losses in Europe, dry conditions in parts of Russia and Ukraine and a missile attack on a grain vessel in the Black Sea pushed prices to $5.99 last Friday, the highest since June 19.
* But Russian wheat prices did not follow the CBOT higher and the country, by far the world's biggest exporter, continues to ship huge quantities, out-competing U.S. grain.
* U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) data on Thursday showed that weekly U.S. export sales were below analysts' expectations. EXP/WHE
* Negative supply news supported prices on Friday, however, with the IGC trimming its forecast for 2024/25 global wheat output to 798 million metric tons, Argentine farmers abandoning some wheat fields due to lack of rainfall and heavy rains killing winter crops in parts of Siberia during sprouting time.
* In other crops, the IGC lowered its 2024/25 world corn crop outlook by 2 million tons to 1.224 billion tons and kept its forecast for global soybean output in 2024/25 at 419 million tons.
* The USDA reported U.S. soybean export sales above trade expectations. U.S. soy exports have picked up after one of the worst seasons in recent memory but are still disconcertingly low. EXP/SOY
* Commodity funds have cut their net short positions in CBOT wheat, corn and soybeans but remain bearish. They were net sellers of all three on Thursday, traders said.
MARKETS NEWS
* Major Wall Street indexes broke record highs after global counterparts booked gains and Treasury yields rose on Thursday as the start of the Federal Reserve's first rate-cutting cycle in more than four years whet investors' risk appetite. MKTS/GLOB
Reporting by Peter Hobson; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala
Berita Terkini
Penafian: Entiti XM Group menyediakan perkhidmatan pelaksanaan sahaja dan akses ke Kemudahan Dagangan Atas Talian, yang membolehkan sesorang melihat dan/atau menggunakan kandungan yang ada di dalam atau melalui laman web, tidak bertujuan untuk mengubah atau memperluas, juga tidak mengubah atau mengembangkannya. Akses dan penggunaan tersebut tertakluk kepada: (i) Terma dan Syarat; (ii) Amaran Risiko; dan Penafian Penuh. Oleh itu, kandungan sedemikian disediakan tidak lebih dari sekadar maklumat umum. Terutamanya, perlu diketahui bahawa kandungan Kemudahan Dagangan Atas Talian bukan permintaan, atau tawaran untuk melakukan transaksi dalam pasaran kewangan. Berdagang dalam mana-mana pasaran kewangan melibatkan tahap risiko yang besar terhadap modal anda.
Semua bahan yang diterbitkan di Kemudahan Dagangan Atas Talian kami bertujuan hanya untuk tujuan pendidikan/maklumat dan tidak mengandungi – dan tidak boleh dianggap mengandungi nasihat kewangan, cukai pelaburan atau dagangan dan cadangan, atau rekod harga dagangan kami, atau tawaran, atau permintaan untuk suatu transaksi dalam sebarang instrumen kewangan atau promosi kewangan yang tidak diminta kepada anda.
Sebarang kandungan pihak ketiga serta kandungan yang disediakan oleh XM, seperti pendapat, berita, penyelidikan, analisis, harga, maklumat lain atau pautan ke laman web pihak ketiga yang terdapat dalam laman web ini disediakan berdasarkan "seadanya" sebagai ulasan pasaran umum dan bukanlah nasihat pelaburan. Sesuai dengan apa-apa kandungan yang ditafsir sebagai penyelidikan pelaburan, anda mestilah ambil perhatian dan menerima bahawa kandungan tersebut tidak bertujuan dan tidak sediakan berdasarkan keperluan undang-undang yang direka untuk mempromosikan penyelidikan pelaburan bebas dan oleh itu, ia dianggap sebagai komunikasi pemasaran di bawah peraturan dan undang-undang yang berkaitan. SIla pastikan bahawa anda telah membaca dan memahami Notifikasi mengenai Penyelidikan Pelaburan Bukan Bebas dan Amaran Risiko mengenai maklumat di atas yang boleh diakses di sini.
