XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – EURAUD getting closer to key area



EURAUD’s drop continues, cancelling out most of the upward move recorded since the March 6, 2023 bullish breakout. The pair is hovering just above the 1.5831 level as a pattern of lower higher and lower lows is in place. This raises the possibility of a small upleg from current levels, setting the scene for an even more aggressive sell-off afterwards.

The recent price action continues to enjoy the support of the momentum indicators. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is pointing to a decent bearish trend, but it appears to be very close to its peak. In addition, the stochastic oscillator has returned to its oversold area, where it can stay there for a while before signaling the next bullish move.

Should the bulls decide to stage a small recovery, they would try to break the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.6058. The path then becomes trickier at the busy 1.6250-1.6323 area. This range has repeatedly proved its importance and it is currently defined by the February 11, 2016 high and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).

On the other hand, the bears appear determined for a move towards the 1.5612-1.5741 range where the upper boundary of the October 2022-March 2023 rectangle resides. However, they firstly have to overcome the support set by the January 24, 2014 high at 1.5831. Even lower, the 1.5357-1.5465 area could prove tougher to crack.

To sum up, EURAUD bears are finally staging their comeback, but their true determination is yet to be put to the test. 

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.