Technical Analysis – Tesla shares climb, but remain in a downtrend
Tesla shares reach two-month high, break above trendline
Short-term outlook positive, but still in broader downtrend
Break above 269 needed for longer term picture to improve
Tesla shares have risen steadily over the last couple of months, breaking above some key moving averages and a downtrend line taken from the peaks of July. The price is also trading above an uptrend line drawn from the lows of October, all of which suggests that the short-term outlook is positive. The short-term optimism is also endorsed by the momentum oscillators. The RSI has risen towards the 70 level while the MACD has climbed above its red trigger line, both reflecting the recent rally in the market. Should buyers remain in control and manage to pierce above the 259 zone, the next obstacle might be the 269 region, defined by the October highs. Another push higher from there would break the structure of lower highs that has been in place since July, which would brighten up the longer term outlook and open the door for the 277 area. On the downside, a selloff could see scope for extensions towards the crowded 228 territory. The 50- and 200-day simple moving averages have converged around this region, elevating its importance. If sellers manage to slice below it, the focus would then shift to 212, a level that halted the slide back in August. Summarizing, Tesla shares have made significant progress lately, but for the long-term picture to improve, buyers need to pierce above the 269 region.
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