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Technical Analysis – USDCAD pulls back but diagonal line still stands



  • USDCAD attempts to test the uptrend line

  • Momentum indicators remain cautiously tilted to the downside

USDCAD had an aggressive selling interest after the pullback from the 1.3740 resistance level, meeting the 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) again. The pair is still holding above the medium-term rising trend line, but the technical oscillators are indicating more decreases. The RSI is flattening near the neutral level of 50, while the stochastic is heading south, posting a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines.

A successful rebound off the uptrend line could take the pair back near the 1.3740 barricade ahead of the next highs of 1.3785 and 1.3845. If traders continue to buy the pair, then the market could switch to strongly bullish again, hitting the 13-month peak of 1.3900.

Otherwise, a significant decline below the diagonal line could open the way for a test of the 1.3590 strong obstacle and the 200-day SMA at 1.3575. More decreases may be a sign for a bearish correction movement until the 1.3455 support level.

All in all, despite the latest fall in USDCAD, there are some obstacles to consider before a real bearish trend reversal takes place.  

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