Technical Analysis – US 30 index on the slide for the second week
US 30 index creates a double top pattern near 40,000; slips below key support levels
A step beneath 37,847 could motivate more selling
US Q1 GDP figures revised down; core PCE inflation next on the agenda
The US 30 index (cash) has been suffering the most on Wall Street over the past two weeks. Having topped twice near the 40,000 psychological mark last Monday, the index lost around 4.4% to trade near 38,050 ahead of Friday’s core PCE inflation data.
The violation of October’s support trendline and the close below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the previous upleg combined with the falling momentum indicators bodes well for the bears.
On the upside, the bulls must initially pierce through the 100-day EMA at 38,367 and then knock down the wall between the 20- and 50-day EMAs at 38,865 to regain traders’ confidence. A decisive rally above 39,270 could add fresh impetus to the rally, bringing the 40,000 psychological mark back on the table. The next question would be whether the market can find enough buyers from there to chart a new higher high within the ascending trendline zone of 40,500-40,950.
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