XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Asia stocks gain on rate cut wagers, yen stays near 38-year lows



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia stocks gain on rate cut wagers, yen stays near 38-year lows</title></head><body>

By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE, July 3 (Reuters) -Asian stocks rose on Wednesday as comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced expectations that U.S. rate cuts were not far off, while the yen remained pinned near levels last seen in 1986, keeping traders wary of Japanese intervention.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was 0.26% higher, while Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.49%, stalking the record high touched in March.

The U.S. is back on a "disinflationary path", Powell said on Tuesday, although he cautioned that policymakers need more data before they can consider cutting interest rates.

Powell's comments sent U.S Treasury yields 4.3 basis points lower overnight, with the yield on the 10-year note steady at 4.433% in Asian hours on Wednesday, keeping the dollar subdued. Investors were also weighing data showing a tight U.S. labour market.

Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone, said Powell's remarks sounded, at the margin, just a touch more dovish than those made as of late.

"Commentary of this ilk appears to further open the door to a September rate cut, especially with Powell also flagging the risk associated with leaving it too late to deliver the first rate reduction."

Traders are currently pricing in a 69% chance of the Fed cutting rates in September and as many as two rate cuts this year, a far cry from the over 150 basis points of easing expected at the start of the year.

Chinese stocks fell in early trading, with the blue-chip CSI 300 index .CSI300 down 0.27%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI was 0.3% higher.

Data showed China's services activity expanded at the slowest pace in eight months and confidence hit a four-year low in June, dragged by slower growth in new orders, suggesting the need for more economic stimulus.


RATE CUT HOPES

The prospect of a U.S. rate cut coming soon has kept a lid on the dollar's ascent, with the dollar index, which measures the U.S. unit against six rivals, steady at 105.71.

The yen JPY=EBS was slightly weaker at 161.63 per dollar, close to the 38-year low of 161.745 it touched on Tuesday.

The yen has dropped over 12% against the greenback this year, hurt by the wide gap between the interest rates in the U.S. and Japan.

Traders have been on the lookout for signs of Japanese authorities intervening in the currency market to prop up the frail yen, with some analysts suggesting that the line in the sand might be further away than current levels.

"We suspect interest on the pair has subsided as intervention threat looms around the 164-165 level," said Alex Loo, macro strategist at TD Securities in Singapore.

Meanwhile, the euro EUR=EBS last fetched $1.07455, just below the two-week high it hit on Monday as opponents of France's National Rally (RN) stepped up their bid to block the far-right party from power, with more candidates agreeing to pull out of the run-off election to avoid splitting the anti-RN vote.

Data on Tuesday also showed euro zone inflation eased last month but a crucial services component remained stubbornly high, likely fuelling concern among some policymakers that domestic price pressures could stay at elevated levels.

Sterling GBP=D3 was little changed at $1.2685 ahead of the UK general election on Thursday where the opposition Labour party is widely expected to win a landslide victory.

In commodities, oil prices were higher as U.S. industry data boosted hopes of solid fuel demand during the summer driving season in the top oil consuming nation. O/R

Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 rising 0.44% to $86.62 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 were 0.41% higher at $83.15 per barrel.


World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4


Reporting by Ankur Banerjee and Sameer Manekar in Singapore; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
</body></html>

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.