Barclays double upgrades DNB, cuts three Swedish banks
** Barclays double upgrades Norway's DNB Bank DNB.OL and cuts three Swedish peers, as it turns more constructive on Norway relative to Sweden, Denmark and the Baltics
** Norway-exposed banks' benefit from their capacity to cut deposit rates and the relatively high (c.75%) percentage of household deposits in saving accounts, it says
** It cuts SEB SEBa.ST and Swedbank SWEDa.ST mainly on exposure to the Lithuanian bank tax and SEB's regulatory challenges amid Basel IV reforms
** It notes Handelsbanken's SHBa.ST lower rate-sensitivity vs Swedish peers, but cuts rating on unclear cost base and lower business returns vs other Nordic peers
** Danske Bank DANSKE.CO is now its least preferred name
** In a higher-for-longer rate environment, Nordic banks have lost their past relative advantages vs European peers, such as earnings defensiveness and capital returns, it adds
COMPANY | NEW RATING | OLD RATING | NEW PT | OLD PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
DNB.OL | Overweight | Underweight | NOK 240 | NOK 202 |
NDAFI.HE | n/a | Overweight | EUR 13.30 | EUR 13 |
SHBa.ST | Equal-weight | Overweight | SEK 109 | SEK 120 |
SWEDa.ST | Equal-weight | Overweight | SEK 233 | SEK 237 |
SEBa.ST | Underweight | Equal-weight | SEK 124 | SEK 126 |
DANSKE.CO | n/a | Underweight | n/a | DKK 165 |
Reporting by Anna Chaberska
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