Brazil's real gains after cenbank resumes rate hikes; other currencies steady
Mexican economy up 1.1% y/y in August- preliminary estimate
South Africa joins easing club with 25 bps rate cut
Turkish central bank keeps rates steady, alters guidance
Argentine stocks headed for record high close
Both Latam FX and stocks up 0.3%
Updated at 3:25 p.m. ET/ 1925 GMT
By Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan
Sept 19 (Reuters) -Brazil's real outpaced itsregional peers on Thursday after the central bank kicked off an interest rate-hiking cycle and signaled more increases, while key indexes for Latin American assets climbed after an outsized U.S. rate cut overnight.
The real BRL= hit a one-month intraday high, strengthening 0.7% against the dollar, following an expected 25-basis-point rate hike and as the central bank hinted at upcoming rises to tackle a challenging inflation outlook driven by stronger-than-expected economic activity.
The rise in the benchmark Selic interest rate for the first time in over two years also comes in the face of the Federal Reserve's larger-than-usual 50-bps cut in U.S. interest rates andprojections of another half-a-percentage-point cut by year-end.
"Many market participants anticipated this move, but some believe it could be more symbolic, helping to boost confidence in the BCB's (Banco Central do Brasil's) commitment to inflation control," said Albie Manderson, FX risk manager at Deaglo.
This widens the interest rate differential between Brazil and the U.S., likely supporting the real by attracting capital inflows and easing inflationary pressures through lower import prices.
"The widening interest rate differential adds further complexity to the BCB's decision-making process. However, this move could help temper pressures on the Brazilian real."
The real's gains helped the MSCI gauge tracking Latam currencies .MILA00000CUS to gain 0.3%, withthe Colombian peso COP= also rising 0.2%, whilePeru's sol PEN= held steady at 3.7333 per dollar.
"Depreciation of the greenback would be beneficial for many emerging markets that carry significant levels of dollar-denominated debt, such as Turkey and Argentina," economists at the Institute of International Finance wrote in a report led by Chief Economist Marcello Estevão.
On the data front, a preliminary estimate showed Mexico's economy likely expanded 1.1% in August compared with the same month a year earlier. The Mexican peso MXN= held firm at 19.305 per greenback.
The MSCI Latam stocks index .MILA00000PUS was up 0.3%, rising for the seventh straight session, led by strong gainsin Argentine stocks <.MERV>, which was headed for an all-time high close.
Argentina posted an eighth consecutive primary fiscal surplus in August, as the government pursues stringent austerity measures to tackle an economic crisis.
Elsewhere in emerging markets, South Africa took a measured tone after its first rate cut in more than four years, while Turkeyheld its main interest rate steady at 50% for a sixth straight month.
The Turkish lira TRYTOM=D3 was last up 0.2%, while South Africa's rand ZAR= held firm at 17.53 per greenback.
Angola left its main interest rate unchanged at 19.50% after inflation started easing last month, while Ukraine kept its key rate unchanged at 13% for the second consecutive time.
Markets in Chile were shut for a public holiday.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities | Latest | Daily % change |
MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF | 1100.04 | 1.13 |
MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS | 2275.06 | 0.33 |
Brazil Bovespa .BVSP | 133455 | -0.22 |
Mexico IPC .MXX | 52896.01 | 0.6 |
Chile IPSA .SPIPSA | 6323.95 | -0.36 |
Argentina Merval .MERV | 1848227.01 | 1.825 |
Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP | 1314.8 | 0.58 |
Currencies | Latest | Daily % change |
Brazil real BRL= | 5.4252 | 0.66 |
Mexico peso MXN= | 19.305 | -0.11 |
Chile peso CLP= | 930.35 | 0.13 |
Colombia peso COP= | 4160.47 | 0.17 |
Peru sol PEN= | 3.7333 | 0.09 |
Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL | 962.5 | 0 |
Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB= | 1220 | 3.278688525 |
Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru
Editing by Marguerita Choy
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
