Copper tumbles as Trump victory sparks fear of slower energy transition
Updates official prices
By Julian Luk
London Nov 6 (Reuters) -Copper prices tumbled on Wednesday as victory for Republican Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election spurred concerns that major electrification initiatives would be rolled back, dampening demand for the highly conductive metal.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) CMCU3 was down 3.6% to $9,391 per metric ton during official rings, its lowest in 48 days.
It fell through the 21-day, 50-day and 100-day moving averages.
The copper market is pricing in the long-term direction of Trump's policies, a trader said.
Trump said he would "rescind all unspent funds" under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the Biden-Harris administration's signature climate law to decouple the global supply chain from China.
The IRA includes hundreds of billions of dollars in subsidies for electric vehicles, solar and wind energy, and increasing production of strategic minerals. It was seen as an incentive boost for investments in lithium, copper and nickel outside China.
A Trump victory could also derail U.S. policy in resource-rich Africa. Biden's administration planned to nearly double its financial commitments in the copper belt of the Democratic Republic of Congo, the world's second biggest copper producer.
To encourage local manufacturing, the president-elect has also threatened to add a 60% blanket tariff on U.S. imports of Chinese goods. That could quicken factory relocation out of China, which smelts almost half of the world's copper.
"If everything got derailed, it's time for us to re-evaluate the copper demand-supply expectations," the trader said.
For other metals, zinc CMZN3 lost 4% to $2,978 to be the worst performer of the base metals complex. The galvanising metal prices declined as China's steel industries could face headwinds as Trump pledged to boost local U.S. manufacturing.
LME aluminium CMAL3 dropped 2.8% to $2,587 a ton, nickel CMNI3 dropped 1.5% to $15,875, lead CMPB3 dropped 0.5% to $2,018, and tin CMSN3 fell 3.2% to $31,300.
Pressuring metal prices was a stronger dollar. The currency =USD was set for its biggest one-day rise since March 2023 as investors returned to so-called "Trump trades", making dollar-priced metals more expensive for other currency holders.
Reporting by Julian Luk; Editing by Sharon Singleton, Mark Potter and Louise Heavens
For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: LME price overview RING= COMEX copper futures 0#HG: All metals news MTL All commodities news C
Foreign exchange rates FX=SPEED GUIDES LME/INDEX
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.