Fed minutes could help squeeze dollar shorts
Oct 9 (Reuters) -FX traders are focused on release of latest Federal Reserve minutes that could have a big bearing on the direction of the U.S. dollar, at least in the near-term.
Later on Wednesday, investors will get minutes of the Fed's September meeting, which will show discussions about what at the time had appeared to be a deteriorating labour market that ended with all but one policymaker agreeing to a 50-basis point cut.
If the minutes lean more hawkish than expected, that could further stoke dollar demand, which in turn would pressure speculative short positions that are vulnerable to being squeezed in the near-term.
The USD index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, has registered three daily closes in a row above the 102.434 Fibo: a 38.2% retrace of the 106.13 to 100.15 (June to September) drop.
Scope grows for gains to the top of the daily cloud that currently spans the 101.86-103.32 region. However, a break below the cloud base would be the sign that a top has formed.
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Daily Chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/3TZTjQp
(Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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