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Forint holds steady after rate cut cycle resumes, crown tests one-month low



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Updates with Hungary cenbank decision, trader comment

By Anita Komuves

BUDAPEST, Sept 24 (Reuters) -Hungary's forint held stable on Tuesday after the central bank resumed its rate cut cycle following a pause last month, as expected,while the Czech crowneased before another expected Czech rate reduction.

On Tuesday, the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) cut its base rate by another 25 basis points (bps) to 6.50%. The bank had held steady on rates last month following 15 consecutive rate reductions.

The Hungarian currency EURHUF= traded at 394.80 per euro, the same as Monday's closing level and holding stable after the rate cut. It kepttrading in the middle of the range it has bounced around in the second half of the year.

"The entire market expected this rate cut, both inside and outside Hungary, so it had been priced in already and thus did not move the forint," an FX trader in Budapest said.

The forint had firmed the past few weeks to as strong as 392.90, before its retreat starting on Friday.

Investors also eyed a statement with the latest inflation projections and a news conference by the central bank, both scheduled for 1300 GMT.

The Czech crown EURCZK= was testing a one-month low on Tuesday, edging down 0.08% and trading at 25.150 per euro before a central bank meeting on Wednesday, at which markets widely expect another 25-bps interest rate cut.

Some analysts have said the crown might get a lift after the expected rate cut if the central bank sounds hawkish, causing markets to scale back rate cut bets going ahead.

Both banks, which started reducing rates already last year, are convening after the U.S. Federal Reserve began its easing cycle last week with a larger-than-usual rate cut. The European Central Bank has also cut interest rates in recent months.

Elsewhere, the Polish zloty EURPLN= was up 0.15% and trading at 4.2660 versus the euro, at the stronger end of the range where it has been trading since mid-August.

"We expect a calm performance from the złoty. EURPLN will probably remain in the range of 4.27-4.28," Polish state-owned development bank BGK wrote.

Stocks in the region firmed, with Warsaw .WIG20 leading gains as it added 2.01%.





CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1423 CET






CURRENCIES







Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.1500

25.1300

-0.08%

-1.78%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

394.8000

394.8000

+0.00%

-2.94%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2660

4.2725

+0.15%

+1.84%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9755

4.9750

-0.01%

-0.02%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.0500

117.0600

+0.01%

+0.17%


Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1583.31

1580.9800

+0.15%

+11.97%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

73369.28

73060.07

+0.42%

+21.03%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2332.75

2286.81

+2.01%

-0.44%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

17683.33

17601.71

+0.46%

+15.04%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic





spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.2350

0.0090

+109bps

+3bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.3970

-0.0080

+138bps

-1bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.7490

0.0090

+156bps

-1bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.6890

-0.0100

+255bps

+1bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.0800

0.0230

+307bps

+3bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.4150

0.0210

+323bps

+1bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS







3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.71

3.42

3.11

4.28


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.36

6.00

5.58

6.41


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.77

5.39

4.74

5.85


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices





**************************************************************







Additional reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague and Karol Badohal in Warsaw; Editing by Kim Coghill and Tasim Zahid

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/ Spot FX rates Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX= Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX= Other news and reports World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
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