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India's ONGC earnings poised for "free fall" on crude plunge, Nuvama says



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** Oil explorer ONGC ONGC.NS down 1.8% at 290.2 rupees, among top losers on Nifty 50 .NSEI

** ONGC's earnings set for a "free fall" with crude prices under $70/bbl, Nuvama says

** Sees 26% profit hit for FY26 if crude falls by $10/bbl below $75

** Says oil price drop will also force ONGC to cut price of gas supplied to city gas distributors

** Says "extreme caution" needed as ONGC has missed production guidance every year for at least past six years

** Nuvama reiterates "reduce" with PT of 232 rupees

** Analysts on avg rate ONGC "buy"; median PT 334 rupees -LSEG

** ONGC's roughly 12% slide this month has mirrored the drop in crude prices



Reporting by Sethuraman NR in Bengaluru

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