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Jefferies cautious on Indian markets due to 'unsustainably high' domestic inflows



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** Jefferies reduces weightage of Reliance Industries RELI.NS and Amber Enterprises AMBE.NS, increases HDFC Bank

** Brokerage replacesLarsen & Toubro LART.NS with Siemens SIEM.NS in its India model portfolio; adds Emcure Pharma EMCU.NS and Interglobe Aviation INGL.NS

** Brokerage "overweight" on telecom, autos, consumer staples and utilities, while remaining "neutral" on industrial and "underweight" on energy

** Says changes reflect green shoots on consumption

** Jefferies says combined domestic inflows, through mutual funds, direct participation, insurance and pension funds are at "unsustainably high" $7.5 billion per month between January and August

** "An estimated quarter of financial savings going to stock market, which makes us uncomfortable on near-term equity outlook and specifically small and mid-caps and industrials"

** Jefferies says it has near-term cautious view on markets, small- and mid-caps, industrials and global cyclicals

** India's Nifty .NSEI and Sensex .BSESN, among the best performing global markets in 2024, hit a record high on the day, up 17% and 15%, respectively, this year

** Small- .NIFSMCP100 and mid-caps .NIFMDCP100 have outperformed the benchmarks, rising 29% and 30.5% over the same period


Jefferies India model portfolio: Sectoral weightage and view https://reut.rs/47xbDGe


Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru

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