Uncertainty looms over Swedish crown's future path
July 3 (Reuters) -Mixed signals on the EUR/SEK chart are clouding the direction for Sweden's crown and this scenario fits with the uncertainty surrounding the next Riksbank rate move.
On the daily chart EUR/SEK is supported by the daily kijun-sen, currently 11.3595. Resistance is close to market at 11.4245, the 200-day moving average, but this could be weakened by the 100-day moving average crossing above the slower average. EUR/SEK bulls will also be looking to a July 5 11.5470-11.5583 Ichimoku cloud twist. On balance the SEK looks vulnerable.
Weekly price action failed to meet an above market cloud twist and is now contained by the cloud base at 11.4175. Fourteen-week momentum is negative, and the relative strength index is flat lining at neutral levels. There is also potential for a weekly head and shoulders pattern to play out. The right shoulder is taking shape and a rough projection off the neck lines takes the cross to 10.5566. The weekly chart suggests the SEK could strengthen.
On the monthly chart a long lower candle shadow for June, bullish, conflicts with a January 2025 10.6160-10.6398 cloud twist, bearish. Monthly momentum is negative, but the RSI is flat lining at neutral levels.
With the Riksbank set to be a leader in the rate cut stakes this year the crown looks vulnerable, but the charts suggest EUR/SEK direction is not clear cut.
For more click on FXBUZ
EUR/SEK Daily Candle Chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/3xvVIug
EUR/SEK weekly candle chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/3W6XzPm
EUR/SEK monthly candle chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/4coK9UR
(Peter Stoneham is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
</body></html>Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
