US crude inventories likely rose last week, products seen down
Repeats without changes
Nov 5 (Reuters) -U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely rose last week, while distillate and gasoline inventories were seen down, an extended Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.
Ten analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 1.1 million barrels in the week to Nov. 1.
The poll was conducted ahead of a report from the American Petroleum Institute industry group at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT) on Tuesday and one from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, at 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT) on Wednesday.
Crude stocks fell by 515,000 barrels to 425.5 million barrels, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations for a 2.3 million-barrel rise.
REUTERS FORECAST CHANGE FOR WEEK ENDED 11/01/24 | ACTUAL FOR WEEK (EIA) ENDED 10/25/24 | PREVIOUS WEEK CHANGE | YR-AGO CHANGE WEEK ENDED 11/03/23 | |
CRUDE | 1.1 MLN | 425.5 | -0.5 MLN | 13.9 MLN |
DISTILLATE | -1.1 MLN | 112.9 | -1 MLN | -3.3 MLN |
GASOLINE | -0.9 MLN | 210.9 | -2.7 MLN | -6.3 MLN |
REFINERY RUNS | 0.3 PCT PT | 89.1 | -0.4 PCT PT | -0.2 PCT PT |
NATGAS STORAGE FORECAST | 38 BCF TO 76 BCF (SEVEN FORECASTS) | |||
Analysts estimated stockpiles of gasoline USOILG=ECI fell by about 900,000 barrels last week, while distillate inventories USOILD=ECI, which include diesel and heating oil, were expected to have decreased by about 1.1 million barrels.
The rate of refinery utilization USOIRU=ECI was estimated to have increased by 0.3 percentage point from 89.1% of total capacity in the previous week, the poll found.
All figures for stocks are in millions of barrels. Refinery-rate changes are measured in percentage points.
Organization | Crude | Distillate | Gasoline | Refinery runs |
Again Capital | -1.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Commodity Research Group | -1.5 | -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
Confluence | 3.0 | -2.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 |
Excel Futures | -1.2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 0.6 |
LSEG | 3.9 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 0.1 |
Macquarie Group | 2.8 | -3.3 | -2.8 | - |
Price Futures Group | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 | 0 |
Ritterbusch Associates | 3.4 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0.3 |
Rystad Energy | 2.4 | 3.7 | -1.3 | 0.5 |
Stratas Advisors | 1.2 | -3.1 | -2.0 | -1.2 |
Reporting by Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; Editing by Alexandra Hudson
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