EUR/USD investors aren't ready to buy into the weak US data story
Nov 1 (Reuters) -EUR/USD hit a 13-session high Friday then turned lower as investors are not buying into U.S. data indicating slower jobs and economic growth.
October NFP came in at 12k versus Reuters poll estimate for 113k. August and September NFPs were revised sharply lower. The data suggest the jobs market is weakening, but October's data may have been impacted negatively by recent hurricanes and worker strikes.
Manufacturing unexpectedly dropped in October. ISM manufacturing hit 46.5 against estimates of 47.6 and September's 47.2 print.
U.S. yields US2YT=RR fell on the reports, but German yields DE2YT=RR also dropped which helped slightly increase the dollar's yield advantage over the euro as German-U.S. spreads US2DE2=RR widened.
The data didn't alter investor expectations for Fed rate cuts which helped keep terminal rate spreads for the Fed SRAM26 and ECB FEIZ5 near unchanged from the prior session.
Investors likely prefer to wait for cleaner data to emerge and also results from the U.S. elections before driving a big EUR/USD move.
For now the pair is hovering less than 1.0% above its September low, and also trading near the converging 5-, 21- and 200-DMAs.
Technicals highlight downside risks as RSIs are falling and consolidation of EUR/USD's recent drop persists, but tight ranges may hold until data and political influences clear up.
For more click on FXBUZ
(Christopher Romano is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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