Stellar jobs data prompts pricing out of larger BoC cut
Oct 11 (Reuters) -A stellar jobs report has prompted a modest hawkish repricing in Canadian short-term interest rates with the probability of a 50bp cut at the BOC’s October meeting slipping to 36% from around 50% prior to the data 0#BOCWATCH, which may lend some support to the beleaguered Canadian dollar.
Though inflation data is still to come on Oct. 15 ahead of the BOC decision, given that Governor Tiff Macklem had conditioned a larger move on weaker growth and labor data, the strong employment report should allow for a continued pricing out of a 50bp cut, putting a floor under the CAD for now.
Some might look to express a rebounding loonie against the euro with the ECB set to step up the pace of easing with a cut expected at the October meeting. In turn, the door is open for a move to 1.49, while resistance sits at 1.5150 and 1.5200.
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BoC pricing today https://tmsnrt.rs/482xJQY
EURCAD vs spreads https://tmsnrt.rs/4f0DYad
(Justin McQueen is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.)
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