Citi moves BMW back to 'neutral' at net cash valuation
** Citi upgrades BMW BMWG.DE to "neutral" from "sell", pointing to very low expectations and net cash valuation, with the German carmaker and the broader automotive industry trading near 5-year lows
** The broker says it removes the stock from its focus list, as BMW's market capitalization now closely aligns with its Automotive Financial Assets (net cash), adding there's insufficient downside risk to justify a "sell" rating
** The analyst notes that BMW's 6.5% auto EBIT margin guide for 2024 is sustainable, reflecting normalization from pandemic-era profits, but warns of continued risks from lower price/mix, demand deterioration, and geopolitical headwinds in China
** Citi notes that despite risks to EBIT margins and uncertainty in China and the BEV (battery electric vehicle) segment, it views BMW's 2024 guidance of EBIT margin at 6.5% and free cash flow EUR 4 bln as sustainable
** The brokerage keeps its PT of EUR 74 unchanged
** The stock, down 28% YTD, rises 1.2% in early Frankfurt trade to the top of German blue-chip index .GDAXI
Reporting by Elizaveta Gladun
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