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Citi sees operational recovery for European metals & mining in Q3



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** Citi expects Q3 production results from European metals & mining companies to reflect the start of an operational recovery after a weak first half of the year

** It sees small recovery in iron ore and copper production and flattish coal production, while diamonds and platinum group metals could remain weak

** It expects large cap miners such as Rio Tinto RIO.L, Glencore GLEN.L, Antofagasta ANTO.L and Anglo American AAL.L to deliver operational recovery

** Norsk Hydro NHY.OL benefits from alumina spot price rally, while Boliden's BOL.ST Q3 is impacted by lower prices, higher capex and non-recurrence of an insurance claim, Citi says

** It sees scope for better earnings for Metlen Energy & Metals MYTr.AT helped by recovery in Greek spark spreads, positive seasonality for power demand, and improved outlook for execution of renewable rotation assets

** It expects Kazatomprom KZAP.KZ to report continued improvement in uranium production


CITI'S RECOMMENDATIONS:

COMPANY

RATING

PT

Anglo American

buy

GBP 28 (from GBP 30)

BHP Group BHP.AX

buy

GBP 24

Boliden

neutral

SEK 350 (from SEK 340)

Fresnillo FRES.L

buy

GBP 8.50

Glencore

buy

GBP 5.30

Kazatomprom

buy

$53

Metlen Energy & Metals

buy

EUR 46

Norsk Hydro

neutral

NOK 70 (from NOK 65)

Rio Tinto

neutral

GBP 53

South32 S32.AX

buy

GBP 2



Reporting by Marta Frąckowiak

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