Jefferies cuts PTs, revises earnings estimates on oil firms on price weakness
** Jefferies cuts price targets and revises earnings estimates for oil and gas companies after recent declines in commodity prices
** Crude prices have been pressured after OPEC and IEA lowered their demand growth forecasts, citing economic struggles in China, the world's largest oil importer
** Brent crude LCOc1 is down 16.5% and U.S. crude CLc1 ~15% so far in Q3 O/R
** YTD, Brent crude down ~6% and U.S. crude ~3%
** Overall, Jefferies cut PTs for producers in its coverage by ~10% and those of US refining firms by ~4%
** Brokerage also revised EPS estimates for 2024, 2025 and 2026
** Apart from lower prices, Jefferies also expects the anti-energy lobby to use legal avenues to continue disrupting energy firms' operations
Here are some of the PT cuts/EPS revisions:
Company Name | New PT | Old PT | Updated 2024 EPS est | Previous 2024 EPS est |
APA Corp APA.O | $27 | $32 | $3.88 | $4.46 |
ConocoPhillips COP.N | $146 | $155 | $7.97 | $8.82 |
Canadian Natural Resources CNQ.TO | C$49 | C$52 | C$3 | C$3.95 |
Chevron CVX.N | $173 | $185 | $10.99 | $11.92 |
EOG Resources EOG.N | $148 | $157 | $11.84 | $12.67 |
ExxonMobil XOM.N | $140 | $148 | $8.08 | $8.74 |
Marathon Oil MRO.N | $27 | $28 | $2.33 | $2.80 |
Occidental Petroleum OXY.N | $53 | $65 | $2.96 | $3.91 |
Suncor Energy SU.TO | C$55 | C$62 | C$4.66 | C$5.11 |
Marathon Petroleum MPC.N | $200 | $210 | $9.98 | $12.21 |
Phillips 66 PSX.N | $139 | $141 | $7.30 | $8.95 |
Valero Energy VLO.N | $176 | $189 | $10.53 | $12.65 |
Reporting by Pooja Menon in Bengaluru
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