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Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks? July 5 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, yet key parameter of their premiums, so dealers use implied volatility - their best guess. But this bellwether for real FX volatility expectations has almost erased all of the additional risk premium it had accumulated before the first round the of the French election and opens questions about complacency before Sunday's deciding second-ro
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Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way

Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood near six-month highs on Friday as yield spreads swung in its favour, delivering a break of major chart resistance and hefty gains on the Japanese yen. The Aussie was up at $0.6731 AUD=D3 , having gained 0.9% for the week so far to reach $0.6733. The next major bull target is a peak from December last year at $0.6871. The kiwi dollar was lagging at $0.6115 NZD=D3 , to be up
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Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls

BUZZ-COMMENT-Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls July 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale recommends buying a 3-month expiry AUD call/USD spread via foreign exchange options with strikes at 0.6900 and 0.7000. Designed to be held until expiry, the option can return five times the premium paid if AUD/USD is above 0.7000. SocGen FX derivatives strategist Olivier Korber's rationale is that the Australian dollar may be the most resilient in the face of U.S.
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Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook SYDNEY, July 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood tall near a six-month high on Thursday, after cracking major resistance levels overnight as soft U.S. economic data fanned hopes of a September rate cut, supporting bonds. The Aussie also made further gains on its New Zealand cousin and scaled a fresh 33-year peak versus the battered yen due to robust demand from carry trades - where traders borrow a currency with low interest r
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Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles

Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles SYDNEY, July 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar edged up against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as domestic data on retail spending surprised on the upside, but gains were capped by a weak Chinese yuan. The kiwi, however, struggled to pull up from a key chart level. The two, however, stood tall v ersus the battered yen , at near three-decade highs thanks to robust demand from carry trades - where a currency with low interest rates
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