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FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium No surprise to see FX option implied volatility under broad based pressure as risk appetite and a weaker USD leave FX subdued within well worn ranges. U.S. holiday-thinned markets played their part, as did the passing of Friday's U.S. NFP data close to expectations. GBP/USD benefits from the weaker USD with negligible support from the landslide win for the Labour party in the UK election, which had been widely expected .
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Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks? July 5 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, yet key parameter of their premiums, so dealers use implied volatility - their best guess. But this bellwether for real FX volatility expectations has almost erased all of the additional risk premium it had accumulated before the first round the of the French election and opens questions about complacency before Sunday's deciding second-ro
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China's yuan steady as PBOC hints about bond sales push up yields

China's yuan steady as PBOC hints about bond sales push up yields SHANGHAI, July 5 (Reuters) - China's yuan held steady on Friday against the U.S. dollar as yields for Chinese government bonds rose across the curve amid hints from the central bank that it could embark on large-scale bond sales. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has hundreds of billions of yuan worth of medium- and long-term bonds at its disposal to borrow and sell , it said on Friday - part of plan markets see as an effort to co
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Bearish yuan consensus strong, but charts raise doubt

BUZZ-COMMENT-Bearish yuan consensus strong, but charts raise doubt July 5 (Reuters) - Fundamentally, the bearish outlook for China's yuan is hard to argue against, but the daily USD/CNH chart suggests traders should be nimble in the event of a deeper technical pullback. USD/CNH on Thursday broke below 7.2970, the trendline support from May's low, to close at 7.2918. The next floor to watch is the 21-day moving average at 7.2853 , which should attract dip-buying.
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FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP

BUZZ-FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP The U.S. July 4 Independence Day holiday when combined with improved risk sentiment and the weaker dollar, has kept pressure on implied volatility on Thursday. Additional FX volatility premium for Friday's U.S. NFP data appears to be on the low side when comparing current overnight expiry implied volatility with prior levels, especially in EUR/USD .
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