XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.
A
A

AUDJPY


News

FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium No surprise to see FX option implied volatility under broad based pressure as risk appetite and a weaker USD leave FX subdued within well worn ranges. U.S. holiday-thinned markets played their part, as did the passing of Friday's U.S. NFP data close to expectations. GBP/USD benefits from the weaker USD with negligible support from the landslide win for the Labour party in the UK election, which had been widely expected .
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U

Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Adds link for July 5 FXO expiries to line 3 July 5 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for Friday, July 5 , and for the week ahead.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U

Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way

Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood near six-month highs on Friday as yield spreads swung in its favour, delivering a break of major chart resistance and hefty gains on the Japanese yen. The Aussie was up at $0.6731 AUD=D3 , having gained 0.9% for the week so far to reach $0.6733. The next major bull target is a peak from December last year at $0.6871. The kiwi dollar was lagging at $0.6115 NZD=D3 , to be up
A
A
E
N

FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP

BUZZ-FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP The U.S. July 4 Independence Day holiday when combined with improved risk sentiment and the weaker dollar, has kept pressure on implied volatility on Thursday. Additional FX volatility premium for Friday's U.S. NFP data appears to be on the low side when comparing current overnight expiry implied volatility with prior levels, especially in EUR/USD .
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U

Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls

BUZZ-COMMENT-Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls July 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale recommends buying a 3-month expiry AUD call/USD spread via foreign exchange options with strikes at 0.6900 and 0.7000. Designed to be held until expiry, the option can return five times the premium paid if AUD/USD is above 0.7000. SocGen FX derivatives strategist Olivier Korber's rationale is that the Australian dollar may be the most resilient in the face of U.S.
A
A
A
E
E
S
U
U

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook SYDNEY, July 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood tall near a six-month high on Thursday, after cracking major resistance levels overnight as soft U.S. economic data fanned hopes of a September rate cut, supporting bonds. The Aussie also made further gains on its New Zealand cousin and scaled a fresh 33-year peak versus the battered yen due to robust demand from carry trades - where traders borrow a currency with low interest r
A
A
E
N
U

FX options wrap - FX outlook, French risk, ZAR gains, yuan bets

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook, French risk, ZAR gains, yuan bets Implied volatility is under pressure in most of the major G10 currency pairs, which is consistent with low realised volatility within familiar FX ranges. The impending U.S. Thanksgiving holiday and better risk appetite/USD losses, are playing their part . Euro-related FX option premiums have almost fully retraced the significant gains that were made in the wake of the French election call in mid-June.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U
U

Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles

Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles SYDNEY, July 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar edged up against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as domestic data on retail spending surprised on the upside, but gains were capped by a weak Chinese yuan. The kiwi, however, struggled to pull up from a key chart level. The two, however, stood tall v ersus the battered yen , at near three-decade highs thanks to robust demand from carry trades - where a currency with low interest rates
A
A
E
N
U

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

UPDATE 1-Asia Morning Call-Global Markets July 3 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 7,718.20 −32.50 NZX 50** 11,776.73 −12.66 DJIA 39,331.85 162.33 NIKKEI** 40,074.69 443.63 Nasdaq 18,028.763 149.46 FTSE** 8,121.2 -45.56 S&P 500 5,509.01 33.92 Hang Seng** 17,769.14 50.53 SPI 200 Fut 7,723.00 20.00 STI** 3,367.9 29.33 SSEC** 2,997.01 2.28 KOSPI** 2,780.86 −23.45 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bond
A
A
T
U
J
U
U
U

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets July 3 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 7,718.20 -32.50 NZX 50** 11,776.73 −12.66 DJIA 39,279.31 +109.79 NIKKEI** 40,074.69 +443.63 Nasdaq 18,002.325 123.03 FTSE** 8,121.2 -45.56 S&P 500 5,497.67 +22.58 Hang Seng** 17,769.14 50.53 SPI 200 Fut 7,711.00 8.00 STI** 3,367.9 29.33 SSEC** 2,997.01 2.28 KOSPI** 2,780.86 -23.45 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds Bonds JP
A
A
T
U
J
U
U
U

Is the Japanese-US rate gap just too wide?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Is the Japanese-US rate gap just too wide? July 2 (Reuters) - USD/JPY climbed to a new 38-year peak Tuesday, on higher U.S. bond yields, and the move drew official comment. However, in an apparent break in what had become almost routine for Japanese officials, there was an absence of usual comments on the readiness to intervene. A change in the Japanese response could suggest that while the yield gap between Japan and the U.S.
A
A
U

FX options wrap - Elections risk, billions, JPY hedge, yuan

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Elections risk, billions, JPY hedge, yuan While French election risk premiums have eased and UK election risk premiums are small, there's been a pick up in demand for USD call options since last weeks U.S. Presidential debate helped Trump's ratings. Euro related options have seen their volatility and EUR put over call premiums lowered since the first round of French election results.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U

Strong Aussie trend in need of a health check

BUZZ-COMMENT-Strong Aussie trend in need of a health check July 2 (Reuters) - The Aussie looks set to push higher versus a broadly weaker yen towards 123.70, a high from 1990, but possibly only after a deep pullback first, to keep the trend healthy. The long-term AUD/JPY bull trend hit a 33-year high Monday but an overbought condition on the monthly, weekly, and daily charts suggests the cross could do with either a period of gain consolidation or a corrective pullback.
A
A
U

Australian dollar scales 33-year peak on yen as yields attract

Australian dollar scales 33-year peak on yen as yields attract By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 2 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was near 33-year peaks on the Japanese yen on Tuesday as rising bond yields made it an attractive destination for carry trades, while also fuelling further gains on its New Zealand cousin. Market pricing for steady, if not higher, interest rates at home saw Australian 10-year yields AU10YT=RR strike a two-month top of 4.508% overnight.
A
A
E
N

FX options wrap - Election pricing, JPY fears, ZAR risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Election pricing, JPY fears, ZAR risk French elections have driven euro-related implied volatility to new long-term highs alongside EUR puts over call premiums on risk reversals, but there's been some relief selling after the first-round results. EUR/USD 1-month expiry implied volatility is back at 5.9 from 6.5 on Friday and a long-term peak at 7.75 in mid June.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U
U

Australia, NZ dlrs edge up on dollar, give back on euro

Australia, NZ dlrs edge up on dollar, give back on euro SYDNEY, July 1 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars started the week on the front foot as a cooling in a key U.S. inflation reading reinforced rate cut bets, while they lost ground to a buoyant euro after France's first round election votes. The Aussie AUD=D3 rose 0.1% to $0.6672, having eked out 0.4% last week to as high as $0.6689 thanks to the benign U.S.
A
A
C
E
E
N

FX options wrap - Elections, intervention and data risks ahead

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Elections, intervention and data risks ahead Overnight expiry euro related options have seen their FX volatility risk premiums increase since expiry now includes the first round results of the impending French elections. The premium/break-even for overnight EUR/USD opened in London around 70 USD pips - a new 2024 peak . There's a clear preference to own EUR/USD downside strikes as reflected by risk reversals - their EUR put over call implied volatility premiums saw a signi
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U

Australian dollar slips to 10-day low, bonds rally to end tough week

Australian dollar slips to 10-day low, bonds rally to end tough week SYDNEY, June 28 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell to a 10-day low on Friday as markets pared the chance of a rate hike on dovish comments from a top central banker, while bonds got much needed relief to end a brutal week of sell-offs. With the first U.S. presidential debate out of the way and evoking a muted market reaction so far, traders are looking ahead to the U.S.
A
A
E
N

Australia dollar saved by rate hike bets, bonds hammered

Australia dollar saved by rate hike bets, bonds hammered By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, June 27 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell back against a strong U.S. dollar on Thursday but held at 17-year highs on the battered yen, while domestic bonds were hammered by risks of a rate hike this year. The Aussie also jumped on the kiwi to the highest in a month as the rate outlook for their respective central banks diverged.
A
A
A
E
N
U
U

FX options wrap - euro direction, JPY hedges, month-end, CNH

BUZZ-FX options wrap - euro direction, JPY hedges, month-end, CNH The USD is broadly higher on Wednesday and has supported most G10 FX option implied volatility curves. Month-end FX hedge rebalancing flows can add to volatility - models signal a mild need to sell the USD and buy EUR for June. Implied volatility in euro options expiring after the French election is well supported and euro puts retain a substantial premium to EUR calls since the election was announced, albeit now off their highs.
A
A
A
C
E
E
E
E
E
G
N
U
U
U



Conditions

Popular Assets

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.