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UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options July 4 (Reuters) - Implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility expectations and is a key component of an FX option premium. Overnight expiry GBP related implied volatility now includes the UK election and is therefore a bellwether for related FX volatility risk. Overnight GBP/USD implied volatility has averaged 7.5 over recent sessions - a premium/break-even of 40 USD pips in either direction for a simple vanilla straddle.
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Don't bet on a big GBP reaction to the UK election

BUZZ-COMMENT-Don't bet on a big GBP reaction to the UK election June 6 (Reuters) - FX options are forward looking and thrive on FX volatility, but their current pricing suggests that traders aren't expecting the July 4 UK election to create too much in the way of additional GBP volatility. Volatility is an unknown yet key parameter of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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FX options wrap - Key dates stand out as FX risk premiums drop

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Key dates stand out as FX risk premiums drop FX option implied volatility has extended its post U.S. CPI declines toward longer term lows from March, with little interest to buy options other than those after key data and subsequent central bank policy announcements. The sharp decline in FX option implied volatility is consistent with lower realised volatility within familiar ranges and improved risk sentiment.
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Sterling hits one-week high vs dollar, focus on rally against Swiss Franc

Sterling hits one-week high vs dollar, focus on rally against Swiss Franc By Stefano Rebaudo April 4 (Reuters) - Sterling edged higher against a weakening dollar and dropped versus the euro on Thursday, with investors focused on the Bank of England's policy path and the economic outlook. The pound jumped versus the greenback the day after U.S. data showed services industry growth slowed further in March, while a measure of prices paid by businesses for inputs dropped to a four-year low, which bo
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