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GBPUSD

Technical Summary

IndicatorValueTrend
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IndicatorS3S2S1PR1R2R3

News

UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options July 4 (Reuters) - Implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility expectations and is a key component of an FX option premium. Overnight expiry GBP related implied volatility now includes the UK election and is therefore a bellwether for related FX volatility risk. Overnight GBP/USD implied volatility has averaged 7.5 over recent sessions - a premium/break-even of 40 USD pips in either direction for a simple vanilla straddle.
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FX markets are trapped in a vicious circle

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX markets are trapped in a vicious circle July 4 (Reuters) - FX markets are trapped in a vicious circle where the proceeds of interventions are recycled with dollars sold then purchased to maintain or increase the size or reserves which ultimately leads to more intervention. There are many emerging nations currently trying to stem the dollar's rise including China and also Japan which most analysts think will soon sell again.
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Bulk of GBP impact from UK election to stem from exit poll

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Bulk of GBP impact from UK election to stem from exit poll Repeats with no changes July 4 (Reuters) - The UK will head to polls in just under a week, though compared to previous UK elections there is less uncertainty than usual about the outcome of the July 4 vote. Opinion polls have consistently shown that the Labour Party is set for a historic majority.
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Bets mount for US rate cut, UK political shake up

LIVE MARKETS-Bets mount for US rate cut, UK political shake up Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com BETS MOUNT FOR US RATE CUT, UK POLITICAL SHAKE UP It's been a generally upbeat day so far in Asia as softer U.S. data burnished the case for a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
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Cable's decline since the 1970s looks far from over

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Cable's decline since the 1970s looks far from over Repeats Wednesday's story without changes July 3 (Reuters) - The pound's multi-decade decline since it began floating freely against the U.S. dollar in August 1971, circa 2.40 under Conservative Prime Minister Edward Heath, looks set to persist for many years to come. In the run up to the United Kingdom's July 4 election politicians have avoided grand economic plans for fear of waking the bond market dragon after a 2022 crisis
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