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AUDCAD


XM Research

Market Comment – Busier calendar could support the dollar  

Richer US data calendar and Fedspeak today US stocks in the red again; uptrend intact Key inflation reports from both Canada and Australia Yen shows signs of life but still close to intervention level Dollar remains on the back foot The US dollar remains under pressure against the euro despite the relatively quiet newsflow. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee maintained his relatively dovish stance yesterday with the market focusing more on comments from San Francisco Fed Preside
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Technical Analysis – AUDCAD bulls stay in the driver’s seat

AUDCAD rebounds and breaks above 0.9125 Overall, it remains above a prior upside channel The advance may continue towards the 0.9230 zone A dip below 0.9000 could signal a bearish correction AUDCAD rebounded strongly on Tuesday, extending its recovery above the key resistance zone of 0.9125. Overall, the pair is trading above the upper bound of a prior upward sloping channel and above all three of the plotted exponential moving averages (EMA). This paints a positive picture.
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Technical Analysis – AUDCAD consolidates above key support zone

AUDCAD is trading sideways, above upside channel RSI and MACD corroborate the lack of momentum A break above 0.9125 could shift the bias to the upside A dip below 0.9000 may only confirm a larger correction AUDCAD has been trading in a sideways manner since May 15, staying between the key support of 0.9045 and the 0.9125 resistance.
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Technical Analysis – AUDCAD rises to new 14-month high

AUDCAD is higher again today above 0.9100 RSI and MACD are holding in their positive regions AUDCAD has been in an upward movement since February 8, posting a 14-month high of 0.9125 earlier in the day. Entering the 0.9100 area has been a struggle over the past two days, and there might be another tough obstacle around the multi-month high, but the bulls may not give up on the battle yet according to the technical indicators.
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Technical Analysis – AUDCAD rebounds strongly from uptrend line

AUDCAD rallies after hitting uptrend line RSI and MACD detect positive momentum A break above 0.9055 could shift the outlook to clearly bullish But a dip below 0.8810 could invite more bears AUDCAD has been trading in a rally mode since April 2, when it hit support at the near-term uptrend line drawn from the low of September 27. On April 5, the pair emerged above the 0.8930 resistance (now turned into support) zone and looks to be headed towards the key obstacle of 0.9055. Bo
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Technical Analysis – Is the upside corrective phase in AUDCAD over?

AUDCAD briefly breaks below upside support line Oscillators suggest that momentum is turning bearish For the outlook to brighten, a recovery above 0.8945 may be needed AUDCAD entered a sliding mode on March 12, after hitting resistance at 0.8945, slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the December 18 – February 8 decline.
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Technical Analysis – AUDCAD examines potential pivot point

AUDCAD continues to trim gains, reaches key support level Technical picture reflects oversold conditions   AUDCAD erased more than half of its October-December upleg to find support around the November 13 low of 0.8755, which overlaps with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the bullish wave. Both the RSI and the stochastic oscillators hint at oversold conditions, signaling that the bearish action could soon stabilize.
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AUDCAD is recording an impressive green candle today, the strongest 1-day move higher since the May 2, 2023 session. The pair is currently hovering just below the busy 0.8927-0.8970 area, quickly recovering from the 2023 low of 0.8739 recorded on June 30. The medium-term trend clearly remains bearish and the current upleg could be seen as a healthy reaction by the bears.
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AUDCAD is hovering just below the 0.8927-0.8981 range, and it is ready to test the support set by the January 26, 2023 downward sloping trendline. It has recorded five consecutive red candles; the strongest sell-off since the October 2022 downleg when the pair dropped to the lower level since April 2020. The bears must be feeling confident at this juncture as the momentum indicators are pointing to a potential continuation of the current correction.
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Week Ahead – US ISM PMIs and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Following a relatively busy week, the calendar becomes lighter next week. However, that doesn’t mean there are no important economic releases on the agenda. On the contrary, with market participants trying to figure out how many more rate hikes the US economy can withstand, they may pay extra attention to the ISM PMIs for February. Also, with most ECB policymakers arguing that more 50bps worth of rate hikes are needed to tame inflation, the Eurozone’s preliminary CPI numbers for February wil

Technical Analysis – AUDCAD approaches lower levels of multi-month range

AUDCAD is pushing under the 0.8900 handle, after holding below the downtrend line and being capped by the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The pair appears to be heading for a revisit of the more than 9-year low of 0.8834 - this being the lower boundary of a six-month trading range. The short-term oscillators seem to agree with the negative outlook.



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