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Turkish lira falls apart, what can turn the tide?

The Turkish lira has gone into freefall, losing more than 20% of its value in the last month alone. Plagued by artificially low interest rates, extremely high inflation, and a shortage of FX reserves, there isn’t much on the horizon that can change the lira’s fortunes. A short-term recovery is possible after such a dramatic fall, but the broader trend remains overwhelmingly negative.  Lira breaks down It has been a devastating month for the Turkish currency.
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Weekly Technical Analysis – EURUSD, EURTRY, USDJPY

This week the focus of attention will be on the US retail sales, the Turkish elections that are coming up with a second round on May 28 and the Japanese GDP and CPI data. The attention will therefore be switched on how EURUSD, EURTRY and USDJPY may react. US retail sales → EURUSD The highlight will be the US retail sales for April. Expectations are for both the headline and core month-over-month rates to have rebounded to 0.7% and 0.4% respectively from -0.6% and -0.4%.
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