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GBPUSD

XM Research

XM Research - 1 day ago

Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Thursday's UK elections expected to bring political change Similar developments in both 1997 and 2010 weighed on the pound History points to a significant easing in pound volatility across the board Recent FTSE 100 performance matches the 2015 pre-election moves General election in sight The UK general election will be held this Thursday, July 4, the day that the US will be celebrating its 248th anniversary from the adoption of the Declaration of Independence.
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XM Research - 2 days ago

Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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XM Research - 2 days agoBearish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD remains bearish in very short-term

GBPUSD’s recent bounce off 1.2300 runs out of steam RSI and MACD hold beneath mid-levels GBPUSD started a bearish wave again after the spike towards the three-month high of 1.2860, sending prices beneath the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The market is ready to retest the midpoint of the long-term trading range at 1.2610. Short-term momentum indicators are also pointing to a continuation of the bearish bias.
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XM Research - 6 days ago

Week Ahead – French and UK elections on the horizon, US jobs report eyed too

France and UK go to the polls; will elections bring chaos or order? US payrolls report for June awaited as Fed hawks don’t budge Eurozone CPI, Fed minutes and ECB forum also on investors’ radar Macron’s gamble set to backfire Political risks came back to haunt the euro in June as the resurgence in popularity for far-right parties sparked jitters in financial markets.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD fails to extend losses in near term

GBPUSD flirts with 1.2630 Price remains beneath uptrend line Stochastics suggest more losses GBPUSD is ready to record losses for the fourth week in a row, dropping near the 1.2630 support level, where the 20-week simple moving average (SMA) also lies. The RSI in the daily chart continues to move in the bearish area, while the stochastic oscillator is posting a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines slightly above the 20 level.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, USDJPY

Gold at risk of a bearish trend reversal below 2,285 GBPUSD extends its negative trajectory; 200-EMA in focus USDJPY tests intervention risks above 160 ahead of core PCE inflation data
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XM Research - 1 week agoBearish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD bounces off 50-day SMA

GBPUSD rebounds from a 1-month low But the price trades flat in past couple of sessions Momentum indicators improve but remain neutral GBPUSD came under some selling pressure following its recent three-month peak of 1.2859, breaking below the short-term ascending trendline that connects its higher lows since April. Moreover, the pair fell to a fresh one-month low last week, but the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) prevented further retreats.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Besides commodities, volatility is heightened across the board - Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile as they approach intervention levels Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin follows suit Volatility in yen pairs has been elevated for the past few days as they have been trading within breathing distance from the levels that Japanese authorities were willing to defend in the recent past.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar headed for third weekly gains as stock rally cools

Dollar stands tall after SNB cut and BoE’s dovish hold Yen enters intervention zone as Japan’s underlying inflation falls Euro slips on weak PMIs, US PMIs next in focus Nasdaq tumbles as Nvidia hit by profit taking ahead of triple witching Fed cut hopes not enough to dent the dollar The US dollar looks set to finish the week higher, extending its winning streak to a third week.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD declines after BoE’s decision

GBPUSD fails to extend above 20-day SMA Price remains beneath short-term uptrend line Momentum oscillators head south GBPUSD is falling after the BoE interest rate decision, retesting the 1.2670 support level and still standing beneath the steep uptrend line. The pair may find immediate support at the 1.2360-1.2670 region, which is also near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2620. Even lower, the 200-day SMA, which lies near the mid-level of the longer-term trading ran
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Market Comment - Wall Street sets another record after soft US retail sales

Risk appetite buoyed by signs of weakening US consumption Wall Street closes at record highs ahead of US holiday, oil also rallies Pound edges up as services CPI remains sticky despite drop in headline September rate cut hopes get a boost US retail sales fell short of expectations on Tuesday, in another sign that consumers in America have started to rein in their spending.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Volatility skyrockets in FX and stock markets - Volatility Watch

Euro and pound pairs are very volatile but for different reasons Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin seems quiet Volatility in euro crosses has picked up as the region suffers from political instability following the EU elections and fears of a renewed debt crisis.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Will the BoE signal that rate cuts are looming? – Preview

Soft UK data increase chances for September rate cut But wage growth remains elevated BoE meets on Thursday at 11:00 GMT But looming election could be a reason for cautiousness Investors more convinced about a September cut At its latest gathering, the Bank of England (BoE) appeared dovish enough to encourage market participants to assign a decent chance for a first quarter-point rate cut in June, but that didn’t last for long as the hotter-than-expected inflation data for Ap
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XM Research - 2 weeks agoBearish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD falls to a fresh 1-month low

GBPUSD declines to its lowest level since May 17 Momentum indicators ease but remain in positive zones GBPUSD was in a steady recovery following its bounce off the 2024 bottom of 1.2298, with the price violating both the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). In the near term, although the pair surged to a three-month high of 1.2859, it quickly reversed lower.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Weekly Technical Outlook – GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF

GBPUSD holds a bearish bias ahead of UK inflation, BoE rate decision AUDUSD retains neutral outlook as all eyes turn to the RBA policy decision USDCHF sustains 0.8890 floor; Will the SNB trigger the next bull wave?   BoE rate decision --> GBPUSD UK CPI inflation and the Bank of England’s rate decision could produce a new wave of volatility for GBPUSD on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Market Comment – Euro extends losses on French election jitters

Euro hits 6-week low as risk premium for French debt jumps But equities mixed as selloff eases Trio of central bank decisions eyed Euro rocked by fresh fears of a debt crisis Concerns about the real risk of a far-right government in France continue to dog the euro after they resurfaced towards the end of last week. Having shed more than 1% so far in June, the euro is struggling to hold on to the $1.07 level on Monday and is currently trading at more than six-week lows.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD meets steep ascending line

GBPUSD is bullish in short-term and neutral in long-term Stochastics and RSI indicate negative pressure GBPUSD is flirting with the steep short-term uptrend line around 1.2730, easing beneath the 20-day simple moving average (SMA). The technical oscillators are showing signs of more downside pressure. The stochastic is creating a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines, while the RSI is falling near the neutral threshold of 50. If the bears take the upper hand, the market may c
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Week Ahead – RBA, SNB and BoE next to decide, CPI and PMI data also on tap

It will be another central-bank-heavy week with the RBA, SNB and BoE None are expected to cut but there’s room for surprises Retail sales will be the highlight in the United States Plenty of other data also on the way, including flash PMIs and UK CPI RBA is in a pickle The Reserve Bank of Australia will keep the central bank theme going on Tuesday when it meets for its June policy decision.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, EURJPY

Gold trims gains after FOMC rate decision; at risk of bearish trend reversal below 2,290 GBPUSD closes below 1.2800 barrier despite hitting 3-month high EURJPY exhibits favorable attitude; next resistance at 170.78
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Volatility surges across the board – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs are very volatile after strong NFP report Volatility in gold and silver ticks up, oil swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump amid correction fears Volatility in dollar crosses has picked up as the stronger-than-expected NFP report dialed back rate cut expectations, while investors are bracing for the FOMC meeting and the CPI print later this week. Euro pairs are in a similar position after the EU elections sparked a wave of politically instabili
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