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GOLD

XM Research

XM Research - 23 hours agoBullish

Technical Analysis – Gold retains positive attitude

Gold picks up steam towards a key resistance region ahead of US Independence day Short-term bias is positive, but an extension above 2,352 is necessary ISM services PMI, ADP employment, FOMC meeting minutes on the agenda     Gold bulls returned with stronger positive momentum on Wednesday and hit an almost two-week high of 2,287. This came after Fed chairman Powell acknowledged progress on inflation and as investors awaited a slew of US data before the 4th of July holiday break.
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XM Research - 2 days ago

Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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XM Research - 3 days agoBearish

Technical Analysis – Gold battles with descending trendline

Gold trades back and forth in the past few sessions Price fails to claim 50-day SMA and restrictive trendline Momentum indicators are neutral-to-bullish Gold has been under pressure lately following its break below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Although the price managed to find its feet at the lower end of the Ichimoku cloud, it has failed to jump back above the downward sloping trendline drawn from the all-time high of 2,450. Should the latest weakness persist, the pr
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Technical Analysis - Gold rebounds from near the lower end of its range

Gold bulls step in from near key support zone RSI and MACD suggest momentum is turning positive Advances within the current sideways range may be possible A dip below 2,290 could invite the bears back into the game Gold is trading higher today, after hitting support slightly above 2,290 on Wednesday. That zone has been acting as a strong support barrier since April, and it can also be seen as the lower boundary of a sideways range that’s been containing most of the price acti
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, USDJPY

Gold at risk of a bearish trend reversal below 2,285 GBPUSD extends its negative trajectory; 200-EMA in focus USDJPY tests intervention risks above 160 ahead of core PCE inflation data
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Besides commodities, volatility is heightened across the board - Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile as they approach intervention levels Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin follows suit Volatility in yen pairs has been elevated for the past few days as they have been trading within breathing distance from the levels that Japanese authorities were willing to defend in the recent past.
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XM Research - 1 week agoBearish

Technical Analysis – Gold reverses back below 50-day SMA

Gold retreats after unsuccessful break above 50-day SMA The price extends its structure of lower highs Momentum indicators turn bearish Gold had been in a steady recovery from its recent one-month low, which led to the price closing above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) last Thursday. Despite the violation of that crucial hurdle, bullion reversed back lower after failing to jump above the upper end of the Ichimoku cloud.
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XM Research - 2 weeks agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – Gold flirts with upper Bollinger band

Gold consolidates within ascending channel 20- and 50-period SMA post bullish cross MACD and RSI head higher Gold prices have been developing within an upward sloping channel in the short-term view with strong resistance at 2,336 and the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at 2,345. The mid-level of the Bollinger band (20-period SMA) and the 50-period SMA posted a bullish crossover, and the technical oscillators are heading north.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Volatility skyrockets in FX and stock markets - Volatility Watch

Euro and pound pairs are very volatile but for different reasons Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin seems quiet Volatility in euro crosses has picked up as the region suffers from political instability following the EU elections and fears of a renewed debt crisis.
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XM Research - 2 weeks agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – Gold attempts to erase latest slump

Gold falls to its lowest level in a month But recovers some ground, eyeing 50-day SMA Oscillators improve but remain negatively tilted Gold has been experiencing a pullback from its all-time high of 2,450, breaking below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Although the price posted a fresh one-month low on June 7, it has been in a recovery mode since then as the bulls appear to have locked their gaze on the short-term SMA.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, EURJPY

Gold trims gains after FOMC rate decision; at risk of bearish trend reversal below 2,290 GBPUSD closes below 1.2800 barrier despite hitting 3-month high EURJPY exhibits favorable attitude; next resistance at 170.78
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Volatility surges across the board – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs are very volatile after strong NFP report Volatility in gold and silver ticks up, oil swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump amid correction fears Volatility in dollar crosses has picked up as the stronger-than-expected NFP report dialed back rate cut expectations, while investors are bracing for the FOMC meeting and the CPI print later this week. Euro pairs are in a similar position after the EU elections sparked a wave of politically instabili
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XM Research - 3 weeks agoBearish

Technical Analysis – Gold could be poised for a continuation lower

Gold violates bullish structure; prints a head and shoulders pattern Short-term risk is negative; confirmation signal awaited below 2,285   Gold has stabilized near May’s floor of 2,285 after losing more than 3.0% on Friday to mark its biggest daily loss in two years. The price’s current lackluster performance indicates a probable bearish continuation, given its drop below the 20- and 50-day SMAs and beneath the significant trendline zone at 2,325. The technical indicators al
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar rallies on NFP, euro slips after EU vote

US nonfarm payrolls surge past expectations Dollar skyrockets as Fed rate cuts are scaled back Euro slips as Macron calls snap election in France S&P 500 pulls back after hitting new record high Strong jobs report fuels dollar’s engines The US dollar rallied against all its major counterparts on Friday and continued marching north against most of them on Monday, as Friday’s US employment report revealed that the world’s largest economy added a lot more jobs than expe
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XM Research - 4 weeks agoNeutral

Gold holds in trading range of 2,315-2,355 MACD and RSI have weak momentum Gold is moving sideways in the 4-hour chart within a trading range of 2,315-2,355 where the Bollinger bands also lie. The MACD oscillator is standing beneath the zero level and the RSI is heading south below the 50 level, both suggesting weak momentum in the short-term view.
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XM Research - 4 weeks ago

Volatility ticks up in commodity and stock markets – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs in a quiet mood despite upcoming rate decisions Volatility in oil skyrockets, gold swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump as they ease from record highs Euro/dollar and euro/pound volatilities have been in the middle of their 30-day range, even though markets are bracing for the first interest rate cut by the ECB since 2016 on its Thursday meeting.
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XM Research - 4 weeks agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – Gold on a slippery slope

Gold tries to enter Ichimoku cloud Prices stand in short-term sideways move Momentum oscillators lose steam Gold prices are currently capped by the 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), remaining within the short-term consolidation area of 2,277 and 2,431. In the near-term, the market could maintain a sideways move if the RSI keeps moving beneath 50 and the blue Kijun-sen line, hold flat.
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XM Research - 1 month agoBearish

Gold posts 3-week low around 2,322 Momentum oscillators stand below their mid-levels Gold remains under pressure and risk is still to the downside as prices continue to drift lower from the upper Bollinger band and the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart. The short-term technical indicators are bearish and point to more weakness in the market.
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XM Research - 1 month ago

Market Comment – Dollar rallies as market angst spreads

Higher Treasury yields contribute to stock indices’ retreat Euro under pressure as the pound benefits from the election Gold fails to benefit from risk-off; oil drops ahead of OPEC meeting Dollar is on the front foot The US dollar is gaining against its main counterparts with the euro/dollar pair dropping to a 2-week low. The catalyst for this move appears to be the bond market as the 10-year US Treasury yield is hovering above 4.6% for the first time since early May.
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XM Research - 1 month ago

Low volatility across the board besides Bitcoin – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs in a relatively quiet mood Volatility in Bitcoin and silver skyrockets US equities enjoy low volatility despite rally to record highs Euro/dollar volatility has dropped aggressively over the past week as markets are bracing for inflation data both from the US and Eurozone this week. Similarly, volatility in yen crosses remains muted even though the Japanese currency is trading near historical lows against its major peers, while the latest downbeat inflation data out
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