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US500Cash

XM Research

XM Research - 20 hours ago

Q2 Earnings season: A strong test for stretched valuations – Stock News

Earnings parade unofficially starts on July 12 with major US banks S&P 500 profit growth forecast at 10.6% y/y, all eyes on tech results Asymmetric risks due to rosy valuations and optimistic earnings projections Stellar first half Undoubtedly, the US stock markets had another astonishing quarter and a roaring first half of the year as the US economy seems to be headed for a soft landing. It has been more than 21 months now since the stock market experienced a sizable correcti
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XM Research - 1 day ago

Market Comment – Market craves dovish Fedspeak as US stocks reach new highs

US stocks rally after Chairman Powell’s comments Focus on key US data today ahead of Thursday’s bank holiday Dovish ECB commentary to keep euro under pressure Dollar/yen rally continues US stocks rally after Powell’s comments The ECB-dominated forum held in Sintra, Portugal, managed to produce market-moving headlines for the Fed.
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XM Research - 2 days ago

Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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XM Research - 3 days ago

Technical Analysis – US 500 index charts a double top pattern

US 500 index pauses record rally around 5,520 Technical indicators signal more weakness ahead Sellers could take control below 5,395   The US 500 stock index (cash) opened on the negative side on Monday to test the 5,450 region, which seems to be the neckline of a bearish double top pattern. The RSI and the MACD cannot discount the possibility of a bearish continuation as the former has changed course to the downside after peaking in the overbought zone and the latter is steadil
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Dollar rises to a 38-year high against yen

Dollar rises as investors digest Fed remarks Dollar/yen breaks 160, triggers intervention warnings Wall Street trades in the green, AI still the main driver To cut or not to cut in September? The US dollar traded higher against all its major counterparts on Wednesday, gaining the most ground against the Japanese yen. Today, the greenback is stabilizing or pulling back.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Nvidia rebounds as investors seem eager to buy the AI dip – Stock Markets

Nvidia erases a significant part of its 3-day slide Investors are bullish as AI keeps delivering earnings Subdued volatility hints low odds of a broader correction   Nvidia’s roller coaster ride moves markets The last few days have been eventful for the US stock market mainly because of Nvidia’s volatile moves. The AI darling lost over $430 billion in market capitalisation in three successive sessions starting from last Thursday, marking the largest three-day loss in the sto
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Stocks’ asthmatic reaction keeps dollar in demand

US stocks edge higher amidst quiet newsflow French elections are around the corner Aussie and loonie benefit from hotter CPI reports Yen remains under pressure Dollar records small gains against the euro The US dollar is trying to find its footing as the market prepares for Thursday’s presidential debate between Trump and Biden and Friday’s PCE inflation report.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Besides commodities, volatility is heightened across the board - Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile as they approach intervention levels Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin follows suit Volatility in yen pairs has been elevated for the past few days as they have been trading within breathing distance from the levels that Japanese authorities were willing to defend in the recent past.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Busier calendar could support the dollar  

Richer US data calendar and Fedspeak today US stocks in the red again; uptrend intact Key inflation reports from both Canada and Australia Yen shows signs of life but still close to intervention level Dollar remains on the back foot The US dollar remains under pressure against the euro despite the relatively quiet newsflow. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee maintained his relatively dovish stance yesterday with the market focusing more on comments from San Francisco Fed Preside
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Volatility skyrockets in FX and stock markets - Volatility Watch

Euro and pound pairs are very volatile but for different reasons Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin seems quiet Volatility in euro crosses has picked up as the region suffers from political instability following the EU elections and fears of a renewed debt crisis.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar higher, yen under pressure but stocks feel good

Yen suffers from BoJ's inactivity Dollar recovers from Wednesday’s underperformance US stock indices’ euphoria continues BoJ meeting held no surprises The yen is under pressure again today as the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged and decided to trim its bond buying programme but postponed the announcement of the new size of bond purchases until the July meeting.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Can stocks keep defying gravity? – Stock Markets

US stock indices sail towards successive record highs Hawkish Fed doesn’t scare bulls as volatility remains inexistent Valuations are historically stretched but earnings keep growing   High after high All major US indices are having an astonishing year, recording consecutive all-time highs as the economy seems more and more likely to achieve a soft-landing.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Fed stops dollar’s CPI-related bleed, BoJ next

Dollar tumbles after weaker-than-expected CPI data Recovers somewhat after Fed signals one rate cut BoJ decision looms as investors bet on July hike US CPI data propels Wall Street to fresh records Inflation slows, Fed sees one rate cut in 2024 After a turbulent session, the US dollar finished lower against all its major counterparts on Wednesday.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Traders lock gaze on US inflation and Fed decision

Dollar awaits US CPI data and Fed projections Euro still feels the heat of EU elections Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit fresh records ahead of Fed US CPI data and Fed to rock the boat The US dollar traded mixed on Tuesday, extending its gains against the euro, the yen and the franc, but losing some ground versus the kiwi and the pound. Today, the greenback seems to be stabilizing against most of its peers as traders may have adopted a more cautious stance ahead of today’s US CPI data
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Volatility surges across the board – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs are very volatile after strong NFP report Volatility in gold and silver ticks up, oil swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump amid correction fears Volatility in dollar crosses has picked up as the stronger-than-expected NFP report dialed back rate cut expectations, while investors are bracing for the FOMC meeting and the CPI print later this week. Euro pairs are in a similar position after the EU elections sparked a wave of politically instabili
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Market prepares for Wednesday’s events

Euro tries to recoup part of Monday’s losses US stock indices trade sideways but volatility remains high Lighter US calendar but some interest on the 10-year bond auction Pound is on the backfoot after the weaker jobs data Euro tries to recover from Monday’s drop The euro remains on the backfoot following Sunday’s European election results.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar rallies on NFP, euro slips after EU vote

US nonfarm payrolls surge past expectations Dollar skyrockets as Fed rate cuts are scaled back Euro slips as Macron calls snap election in France S&P 500 pulls back after hitting new record high Strong jobs report fuels dollar’s engines The US dollar rallied against all its major counterparts on Friday and continued marching north against most of them on Monday, as Friday’s US employment report revealed that the world’s largest economy added a lot more jobs than expe
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XM Research - 4 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar trades sideways ahead of NFP

ECB cuts rates but outlook remains unclear Market is focusing on the US labour market data Weaker prints could open the door to a dovish Fed meeting Stock markets could suffer if there is an upside surprise today ECB cuts rates but the outlook remains unclear The ECB confirmed the overwhelming expectations and announced a 25bps rate cut on Thursday.
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XM Research - 4 weeks ago

Could stronger US data force a Fed rate cut?

Markets crave weaker US data to support their rate cut expectations Strong data this week could cause an acute market reaction The Fed might find it easier to act if financial stability is under threat The key question in the market participants’ minds is when the Fed is going to start easing its monetary policy stance. The year started with the market pricing in at least five rate cuts by the Fed in 2024, but with inflation remaining above 3% since July 2023, expectations have t
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XM Research - 4 weeks ago

Is the equity market headed for a summer rally? – Stock Markets

S&P 500 finishes May 4.8% higher in an overall solid year Rally could resume as rate cuts are just around the corner Valuations remain stretched but earnings beat estimates   Stocks defy seasonality and strive for summer rally The S&P 500 index clocked its best May performance since 2020 in an overall strong year for equity markets.
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