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USDJPY

XM Research

XM Research - 1 day ago

Market Comment – Market craves dovish Fedspeak as US stocks reach new highs

US stocks rally after Chairman Powell’s comments Focus on key US data today ahead of Thursday’s bank holiday Dovish ECB commentary to keep euro under pressure Dollar/yen rally continues US stocks rally after Powell’s comments The ECB-dominated forum held in Sintra, Portugal, managed to produce market-moving headlines for the Fed.
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XM Research - 1 day agoBullish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY flies to another higher high at 161.92

USDJPY continues its ascending move Technical oscillators still ticking up USDJPY is creating higher highs, unlocking a fresh 38-year high of 161.92 earlier in the day. The rebound off 154.50 is still in progress, while the technical oscillators are still heading north. The RSI is developing above its uptrend line in the overbought territory, the MACD is rising above its trigger and zero lines, and the stochastic posted a bullish crossover within its %K and %D lines above the 80 lev
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XM Research - 2 days ago

Technical Analysis – USDJPY still flirts with 38-year high

USDJPY’s bounce off 154.50 still in place MACD and RSI head north But stochastics look overbought USDJPY is retesting the 38-year high of 161.73 earlier today, continuing the rebound off the long-term uptrend line at 154.50. The technical oscillators are standing in their overbought areas. The RSI is still holding above the uptrend line and the MACD is strengthening its positive momentum above its trigger and zero lines.
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XM Research - 2 days ago

Market Comment – Yen’s misery worsens, euro lower after CPI dip, dollar awaits Powell

Yen sinks to fresh 38-year low as officials refrain from verbal intervention Euro pares gains after CPI dip and French election uncertainty Dollar edges up on higher yields, but caution ahead of Powell comments Yen languishes at 38-year low    The Japanese yen ploughed a fresh 38-year low against its US counterpart on Tuesday, hitting 161.75 per dollar, amid ongoing doubts about the Bank of Japan’s ambition to normalize monetary policy and an unexpected pickup in US yields.
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XM Research - 2 days ago

Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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XM Research - 3 days ago

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURGBP, USDJPY, USDCAD

French elections help euro to recoup some losses Friday’s NFP report is the week’s main driver as USDJPY holds near highs Canadian employment report next in focus with USDCAD in range French and UK elections --> EURGBP The euro experienced an increase on Monday following the initial round of France's election, which resulted in the far-right party taking the lead, albeit by a smaller margin than anticipated.
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XM Research - 3 days ago

Market Comment – Euro breathes better but not out of the woods yet

European stock markets higher after French elections result Key euro area data today as the annual ECB forum starts Dollar on the back foot amidst a very busy week Yen remains under pressure Euro gains despite strong result from the National Rally party France’s National Rally party confirmed expectations by winning the highest level of support in the first round of the country’s parliamentary elections, ahead of the left-wing New Popular Front coalition and miles ahead
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XM Research - 6 days ago

Week Ahead – French and UK elections on the horizon, US jobs report eyed too

France and UK go to the polls; will elections bring chaos or order? US payrolls report for June awaited as Fed hawks don’t budge Eurozone CPI, Fed minutes and ECB forum also on investors’ radar Macron’s gamble set to backfire Political risks came back to haunt the euro in June as the resurgence in popularity for far-right parties sparked jitters in financial markets.
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XM Research - 6 days ago

Market Comment – Core PCE in focus ahead of French elections

Dollar gains after first presidential debate Focus today turns to core PCE inflation Yen slides, intervention risks rise French citizens head to the ballots on Sunday Trump election win bets support dollar The US dollar traded slightly lower against most of its major peers on Thursday, extending gains only against the yen and the franc.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, USDJPY

Gold at risk of a bearish trend reversal below 2,285 GBPUSD extends its negative trajectory; 200-EMA in focus USDJPY tests intervention risks above 160 ahead of core PCE inflation data
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Dollar rises to a 38-year high against yen

Dollar rises as investors digest Fed remarks Dollar/yen breaks 160, triggers intervention warnings Wall Street trades in the green, AI still the main driver To cut or not to cut in September? The US dollar traded higher against all its major counterparts on Wednesday, gaining the most ground against the Japanese yen. Today, the greenback is stabilizing or pulling back.
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XM Research - 1 week agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDJPY flirts with 160 level again

USDJPY trades with weak momentum slightly below critical 160 level Overbought conditions detected; sellers wait below 158.35-159.00 BoJ intervention is possible; US core PCE inflation due on Friday at 12:30 GMT   Following a constructive week, USDJPY is now hovering just below its 34-year high of 160.20, having surpassed April’s barrier of 158.34 and a crucial resistance line.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Stocks’ asthmatic reaction keeps dollar in demand

US stocks edge higher amidst quiet newsflow French elections are around the corner Aussie and loonie benefit from hotter CPI reports Yen remains under pressure Dollar records small gains against the euro The US dollar is trying to find its footing as the market prepares for Thursday’s presidential debate between Trump and Biden and Friday’s PCE inflation report.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Could Tokyo CPI make the July BoJ meeting a live one? – Preview

BoJ meeting minutes summary keep the door open to a July rate hike Key data due this week, especially Friday’s Tokyo CPI Retail sales data to show consumer appetite Yen remains under pressure as officials avoid verbal intervention The BoJ is still willing to hike rates On June 14, the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged and failed to surprise the market.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Technical Analysis – USDJPY retreats after hitting 2-month high

USDJPY eases near 161.8% Fibonacci extension RSI and stochastic look overbought USDJPY is declining from a fresh two-month high of 159.91, failing to test the 160.00 psychological number once again. The price is currently testing the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the down leg from 151.95 to 140.20 at 159.13, with the next support coming from the 157.70 level and the long-term uptrend line at 156.70. A drop beneath the diagonal would open the way for a downside correction towar
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Besides commodities, volatility is heightened across the board - Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile as they approach intervention levels Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin follows suit Volatility in yen pairs has been elevated for the past few days as they have been trading within breathing distance from the levels that Japanese authorities were willing to defend in the recent past.
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Busier calendar could support the dollar  

Richer US data calendar and Fedspeak today US stocks in the red again; uptrend intact Key inflation reports from both Canada and Australia Yen shows signs of life but still close to intervention level Dollar remains on the back foot The US dollar remains under pressure against the euro despite the relatively quiet newsflow. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee maintained his relatively dovish stance yesterday with the market focusing more on comments from San Francisco Fed Preside
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar headed for third weekly gains as stock rally cools

Dollar stands tall after SNB cut and BoE’s dovish hold Yen enters intervention zone as Japan’s underlying inflation falls Euro slips on weak PMIs, US PMIs next in focus Nasdaq tumbles as Nvidia hit by profit taking ahead of triple witching Fed cut hopes not enough to dent the dollar The US dollar looks set to finish the week higher, extending its winning streak to a third week.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Week Ahead – US PCE inflation the highlight of a relatively light agenda

Core PCE inflation to test bets of two Fed rate cuts in 2024 Yen awaits BoJ Summary of Opinions, Tokyo CPI Canadian CPI data also enters the spotlight   Will PCE data confirm Fed rate cut bets? Although the Fed’s updated dot plot pointed to only one quarter-point reduction by the end of the year, the softer-than-expected CPI numbers a few hours ahead of last week’s decision did not convince market participants about officials’ intentions.
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Market Comment – Fedspeak and US data could prop up the dollar

Back in action with a full US data calendar and Fedspeak BoE meets but unlikely to produce headlines SNB cuts rates and remains willing to intervene in FX markets Yen underperforms as Japanese officials remain quiet Dollar remains on the back foot The rare mid-week day-off in the US is over with the market mostly preparing for tomorrow’s key release of the preliminary PMI surveys, which are critical for the euro area.
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