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Reuters - 5 hours ago

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook SYDNEY, July 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood tall near a six-month high on Thursday, after cracking major resistance levels overnight as soft U.S. economic data fanned hopes of a September rate cut, supporting bonds. The Aussie also made further gains on its New Zealand cousin and scaled a fresh 33-year peak versus the battered yen due to robust demand from carry trades - where traders borrow a currency with low interest r
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Reuters - 12 hours ago

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

UPDATE 1-Asia Morning Call-Global Markets July 4 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 7,739.90 +21.70 NZX 50** 11,790.92 +14.19 DJIA 39,308.00 −23.85 NIKKEI** 40,580.76 +506.07 Nasdaq 18,188.302 159.54 FTSE** 8,171.12 49.92 S&P 500 5,537.02 28.01 Hang Seng** 17,978.57 209.43 SPI 200 Fut 7,808.00 79.00 STI** 3,415.51 47.61 SSEC** 2,982.38 -14.64 KOSPI** 2,794.01 13.15 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bond
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Reuters - 14 hours ago

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets July 4 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 7,739.90 21.70 NZX 50** 11,790.92 +14.19 DJIA 39,308.00 −23.85 NIKKEI** 40,580.76 +506.07 Nasdaq 18,188.302 159.54 FTSE** 8,171.12 49.92 S&P 500 5,537.02 +28.01 Hang Seng** 17,978.57 209.43 SPI 200 Fut 7,802.00 73.00 STI** 3,415.51 47.61 SSEC** 2,982.38 -14.64 KOSPI** 2,794.01 13.15 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds Bonds J
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Reuters - 19 hours ago

FX options wrap - FX outlook, French risk, ZAR gains, yuan bets

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook, French risk, ZAR gains, yuan bets Implied volatility is under pressure in most of the major G10 currency pairs, which is consistent with low realised volatility within familiar FX ranges. The impending U.S. Thanksgiving holiday and better risk appetite/USD losses, are playing their part . Euro-related FX option premiums have almost fully retraced the significant gains that were made in the wake of the French election call in mid-June.
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Reuters - 21 hours ago

The FX outlook according to options

BUZZ-COMMENT-The FX outlook according to options July 3 (Reuters) - FX options are forward looking and thrive on FX volatility and directional moves, so their price action and trade flows can offer clues on the perceived FX outlook. Implied volatility gauges the unknown realised volatility risk, which is key to an option premium - it's on the back foot in many of the most commonly traded G10 currency pairs.
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Reuters - 1 day ago

Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles

Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles SYDNEY, July 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar edged up against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as domestic data on retail spending surprised on the upside, but gains were capped by a weak Chinese yuan. The kiwi, however, struggled to pull up from a key chart level. The two, however, stood tall v ersus the battered yen , at near three-decade highs thanks to robust demand from carry trades - where a currency with low interest rates
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Reuters - 2 days ago

FX options wrap - Elections risk, billions, JPY hedge, yuan

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Elections risk, billions, JPY hedge, yuan While French election risk premiums have eased and UK election risk premiums are small, there's been a pick up in demand for USD call options since last weeks U.S. Presidential debate helped Trump's ratings. Euro related options have seen their volatility and EUR put over call premiums lowered since the first round of French election results.
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Reuters - 2 days ago

US yields boost dollar and leave yen dazed at 38-year low

FOREX -US yields boost dollar and leave yen dazed at 38-year low Updates 0522 GMT By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, July 2 (Reuters) - The dollar was supported by rising U.S. yields and the blowtorch was on low-yielding currencies on Tuesday such as China's yuan and Japan's yen, which was pinned to its lowest since 1986. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR rose nearly 14 basis points to 4.479% overnight, with analysts attributing the move to expectations of Donald Trump winning the U.S.
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Reuters - 2 days ago

Australian dollar scales 33-year peak on yen as yields attract

Australian dollar scales 33-year peak on yen as yields attract By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 2 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was near 33-year peaks on the Japanese yen on Tuesday as rising bond yields made it an attractive destination for carry trades, while also fuelling further gains on its New Zealand cousin. Market pricing for steady, if not higher, interest rates at home saw Australian 10-year yields AU10YT=RR strike a two-month top of 4.508% overnight.
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Reuters - 2 days ago

US yields lift dollar and leave yen languishing

FOREX-US yields lift dollar and leave yen languishing By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, July 2 (Reuters) - The dollar was supported by rising U.S. yields and the blowtorch was on low-yielding currencies on Tuesday such as China's yuan and Japan's yen, which was pinned to its lowest since 1986. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR rose nearly 14 basis points to 4.479% overnight, with analysts attributing the move to expectations of Donald Trump winning the U.S.
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Reuters - 3 days ago

FX options wrap - Election pricing, JPY fears, ZAR risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Election pricing, JPY fears, ZAR risk French elections have driven euro-related implied volatility to new long-term highs alongside EUR puts over call premiums on risk reversals, but there's been some relief selling after the first-round results. EUR/USD 1-month expiry implied volatility is back at 5.9 from 6.5 on Friday and a long-term peak at 7.75 in mid June.
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Reuters - 3 days ago

Dollar should be well supported all year

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dollar should be well supported all year July 1 (Reuters) - The dollar should be well supported all year thanks to the lure of the highest interest rate among major currencies. Coupled with the safety the dollar offers those invested in it, it's hard to imagine anyone straying too far from the U.S. currency at a time when its strength versus a growing number of emerging currencies may be reaching a crisis point.
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Reuters - 3 days ago

Euro rises after France's first-round vote; yen fragile

FOREX-Euro rises after France's first-round vote; yen fragile Updates prices at 0515 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, July 1 (Reuters) - The euro rose on Monday after the first round of France's snap election put the far-right in pole position, though by a smaller margin than projected, while t he yen struggled to break away from a near 38-year low . Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) party won the first round of France's parliamentary elections on Sunday, exit polls showed, although analyst
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Reuters - 3 days ago

Australia, NZ dlrs edge up on dollar, give back on euro

Australia, NZ dlrs edge up on dollar, give back on euro SYDNEY, July 1 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars started the week on the front foot as a cooling in a key U.S. inflation reading reinforced rate cut bets, while they lost ground to a buoyant euro after France's first round election votes. The Aussie AUD=D3 rose 0.1% to $0.6672, having eked out 0.4% last week to as high as $0.6689 thanks to the benign U.S.
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Reuters - 3 days ago

Euro rises after France's first-round vote, yen struggles

FOREX-Euro rises after France's first-round vote, yen struggles By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, July 1 (Reuters) - The euro rose on Monday after the first round of France's snap election put the far-right in pole position, though by a smaller margin than projected, while a downgrade to Japan's first-quarter growth figures knocked the yen lower. Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) party won the first round of France's parliamentary elections on Sunday, exit polls showed, although analysts noted t
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Reuters - 6 days ago

FX options wrap - Elections, intervention and data risks ahead

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Elections, intervention and data risks ahead Overnight expiry euro related options have seen their FX volatility risk premiums increase since expiry now includes the first round results of the impending French elections. The premium/break-even for overnight EUR/USD opened in London around 70 USD pips - a new 2024 peak . There's a clear preference to own EUR/USD downside strikes as reflected by risk reversals - their EUR put over call implied volatility premiums saw a signi
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Reuters - 6 days ago

Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead June 28 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes worth noting for Friday June 28 and larger strikes for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strikes expiring on Monday are at 1.0685 on 1.3 billion euros and at 1.0700 on 2.6 billion euros.
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Reuters - 6 days ago

Australian dollar slips to 10-day low, bonds rally to end tough week

Australian dollar slips to 10-day low, bonds rally to end tough week SYDNEY, June 28 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell to a 10-day low on Friday as markets pared the chance of a rate hike on dovish comments from a top central banker, while bonds got much needed relief to end a brutal week of sell-offs. With the first U.S. presidential debate out of the way and evoking a muted market reaction so far, traders are looking ahead to the U.S.
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Reuters - 6 days ago

Dollar barges past 161 yen and eyes quarterly rise

FOREX-Dollar barges past 161 yen and eyes quarterly rise By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, June 28 (Reuters) - The dollar was headed for a second straight quarterly gain and jumped to a near four-decade high on the battered yen in Asia trade on Friday, ahead of a crucial U.S. inflation reading. Neither an overnight drop in U.S. yields nor data showing solid consumer price gains in Tokyo could arrest the downward slide in Japan's currency, which sank to its weakest since 1986 at 161.155 per dollar JPY=
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Reuters - 1 week ago

Bruised yen mired near 1986 low with eye on intervention

FOREX-Bruised yen mired near 1986 low with eye on intervention Adds comment, updates prices at 1125 GMT By Rae Wee and Amanda Cooper SINGAPORE/LONDON, June 27 (Reuters) - The yen languished near a 38-year low on the weaker side of 160 per dollar on Thursday, keeping traders on alert for any signs of intervention from Japanese authorities to prop up the currency.
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